From chief meteorologist Tony Petrarca…..Updated Thursday 12:20 AM
EAST COAST RESIDENTS SHOULD STILL MONITOR FUTURE MOVEMENT OF JOSE THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK
.JOSE NOW MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND A BIT STRONGER…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…
ABOUT 475 MI ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 495 MI S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB…29.09 INCHES
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGE
FORECAST TRACK THRU NEXT MONDAY FROM NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
MULTIPLE COMPUTER FORECAST TRACKS….While long range guidance points to an average track offshore of New England , it is still close enough to bear watching next several days..especially by Monday and Tuesday of next week.
At 1100 PM, the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 25.2 North, longitude 66.0 West. Jose is moving
toward the west near 3 mph. A turn toward the west-
northwest and then toward the northwest is expected during the next
48 hours, along with an increase in forward speed.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
and Jose could become a tropical storm in the next couple of days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).
WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR NEW ENGLAND?
As we stated in previous blog…now thru the Sunday there is no “immediate threat”, but a storm in this position needs to be watched closely. Long range guidance continues to indicate the storm moving north and off the east coast of the US by this weekend into early next week. Jose is forecast to eventually turn northeast and just offshore of New England on Monday. Bottom line, need to watch it carefully, especially in the Monday Tuesday time frame. Even with an offshore track, increasing swells, surf and rip currents are likely late this week and into the weekend. Remember, lifeguards are no longer on duty at state beaches.