Few Showers or T-Storm This Evening, Sunday Evening Storm

Winds will continue to pick up this evening with some additional scattered showers possible, there is even a slight chance of a thunderstorm as a cool pocket of air high above our heads moves into our area:

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Wind could gust 30-35 mph; this will put a chill into the air as temperatures drop into the 40s late tonight into early Friday morning.

Sunday Evening into Monday Storm

A powerful coastal storm will likely move in on Sunday.  The combination of a big dip in the jet stream from the west and some tropical moisture from the south will set the stage for heavy rain and strong wind.  By late Sunday night, the European model has a low pressure center of around 976mb just to our west….this is very low pressure for this time of year!

Wind

This has the potential to bring in stronger wind gusts than what we experienced in the storm this past Tuesday into Wednesday.  During that storm, the strongest gusts in our area ranged from about 40 to 50 mph.  Here is what the European model has for peak gusts 10 meters (just over 30 feet) above our heads.

Note some of the gusts are over 60 knots (or over about 70 mph) out of the south!  With the potential of heavy downpours, it wouldn’t take much to drag those gusts down to the surface.  This would certainly be enough for areas of wind damage, downed tree limbs, and power outages.  You may want to hold off on stringing up on some those Halloween decorations as well!  We are still several days away and if the storm track changes a bit, this could cut back on some of the wind speeds.  We just want you to be aware for the potential that Sunday could be a very windy night.

Rain

While current projections show that the heaviest rain (amounts over 3″) stay to our northwest, there is still a possibility that some of these higher amounts could make it into our viewing area, especially since a tropical tap of moisture is in play.   Therefore, we will have to watch for the potential of localized street flooding late Sunday into early Monday morning.  While we are not expecting major river flooding, we will have to keep an eye on our rivers and streams as well.

Timing

If you are heading to the Pats game, the worst of the rain and wind will likely move in AFTER the game is over (after 8PM) and continue into the overnight hours.  That being said, plan on bringing your rain gear to the game as some showers are possible during the game.  Timing may end up being on our side with most of the rain done by the Monday morning commute, although some could linger into the first part of the commute.  The strong winds have the potential to last most of Monday.

Stay tuned, there are still a lot of details to work out as we get closer to Sunday. -Pete Mangione

 

 

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