Not Feeling the Freeze

It’s been a long time since temperatures dropped to freezing (or below freezing) in Providence. In fact, it’s been since March 26th.  While some of our area dropped below freezing Halloween night into Friday morning, TF Green (where the Providence records are officially recorded) only dropped to 36°.

The average date when Providence first gets to the freezing mark is October 24th, so we are already over a week later than average.

Any Freezing in Our Future?

Although a cold front pulls in some cooler air by Saturday morning, it likely won’t be cold enough for Providence to get to freezing. Our next chance comes mid to late week as some colder air moves in from the northwest:

Above is the forecast at 850mb (that is several thousand feet above our heads) for Thursday morning.  While this brings in the possibility of cooler nights, it does not guarantee below freezing numbers.  Low temperatures not only depend on the overall weather pattern, but also on clouds and wind.  A breezy night with clouds can keep low temperatures significantly warmer than they would be under clear skies and light winds. In fact, the European ensemble model only gives Providence about a 10-20% chance of getting to freezing or below on Thursday or Friday early morning.

Stay tuned! -Pete Mangione

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